Birthday Hangover
He blew out the candles. Did he blow the next game too? Every NHL skater's birthday game and the game after it, measured against his own average.
Whose birthday is this week ↓Checking the patient…
How they actually played
Per game, against the same players' averages in their other games that season.
Birthdays this week
Skaters with a birthday in the next seven days, with the game on the big day and the morning-after game.
Worst hangovers
The hangover games furthest below the player's own average, in points. Shots break ties.
Who can't handle it
Players with at least three hangover games, by points per hangover game against their usual. Each dot is one morning after.
Party animals
Reliably worse the day after.
Designated drivers
Somehow better the day after.
The hangover log
Every birthday game and hangover game this season, newest first.
How it's measured
The party is the birthday itself. The birthday game is a game played on the birthday. The hangover game is the player's first game one or two days after it. A player who plays on his birthday and the next night has both.
Each game is compared with the same player's per-game average in his other games that season, with the birthday and the two days after it left out. Skaters only.
The verdict pools every hangover game. "Curse" means the points gap is at least two standard errors below zero (roughly 95% sure it isn't luck). Anything inside that is noise.
Birthdays in May through September have no games, so those players never show up. Feb 29 birthdays are celebrated Feb 28. Nobody actually checked whether anyone partied.